How Much Do You Need to Retire?

A typical client comes to us with a range of assets that they accumulated in an ad-hoc fashion over time rather than from the execution of a master plan. Not everyone who is wealthy is financially sophisticated. Often, they were just really good at what they did, whether that was running their construction or earthmoving business or being a great doctor or lawyer.

Most of our clients are not financial experts; if they were they wouldn’t need us. However, they are smart and recognise the importance of seeking the right advice to optimise their position. I’ve had people with tens of millions of dollars asking me if they had enough to retire. As much as it surprises me, it is a great reminder that everyone worries about the same types of things when it comes to retirement:

  • How much do we need to retire?

  • Do we have enough to retire?

  • How long will my money last?

There is not one simple answer because everyone’s situation is different, but these are easy questions to address. In financial terms, the three questions above are all a variation of the same equation, the basic variables of which are income, expenses and capital.

But for the purpose of the general concept, simple numbers are the best place to start. If you require income of $250,000 p.a. to meet your expenses in retirement and a typical investment portfolio produces income of 5% p.a., then you’ll need $5,000,000 in capital.

If you have more capital than this then you’ll be fine. If you have less capital than this then you have a decision to make, and you can either reduce your expenses or you can deplete your capital. There is no right or wrong answer it is up to you. But you need to understand the numbers.

I can’t emphasise enough how important it is to understand the context here and the impact of even the most basic variables. If we change the assumption for the typical investment portfolio in the scenario above to, say, 2.5% p.a., then you’ll need $10,000,000 in capital to generate the income figure of $250,000 p.a.

With regards to dipping into capital in retirement, people tend to fall into two camps; those that are worried about spending any of their capital and those who are more concerned about trying to use it all before they die. My philosophy here takes into account real life, not just the financial side. When you’re 65 maybe you live for another 30 years, maybe you live for 2. But I’ll say this, life is short, and I have not yet seen anyone get healthier and more active as they got older.

The reality is that your first 10 years of retirement are going to be your best, so make the most of it. If you are 65 and have $3,000,000 in capital and you spent $50,000 from your capital to have an amazing holiday every year for 10 years does it matter that at 75 your capital has reduced to $2,500,000? Probably not. What if you don’t make it to age 75?

Obviously, the above scenarios are basic and don’t consider specific circumstances, tax, inflation, and whole range of other variables but the overriding concepts and philosophy still apply. For our clients we complete sophisticated financial models that include a range of assumptions around returns, inflation, tax structures and scenario planning to ensure they are prepared for the future and have peace of mind. Certainly, if the three questions at the start are keeping you up at night then it’s probably time to get that type of advice and start planning properly.

General Advice Disclaimer: This information is of a general nature only and may not be relevant to your particular circumstances. The circumstances of each investor are different, and you should seek advice from an investment adviser who can consider if the strategies and products are right for you. Historical performance is often not a reliable indicator of future performance. You should not rely solely on historical performance to make investment decisions.